CDs and Tapes June 1997

Executive Summary

In 1996, the UK market for prerecorded music products was estimated to be worth £1.81bn, at retailers' selling prices (rsp). This represents an increase in retail value of 7.1%, from the previous year's figure of £1.69bn. Over the same period, the volume of sales increased by 7.4%, from 266.9 million units to 286.6 million units. Between 1991 and 1996, the market showed a 42.7% increase in retail value, and a 44.2% increase in volume.

The compact disc (CD) format dominates the market, having accounted for 76.7% of all albums sold, by volume, in 1996. Sales of vinyl, both in the single and album formats, have declined sharply over the last 5 years. However, this process has taken longer in the UK than other European markets. Cassette tapes have settled at a stable volume, but as the rest of the market is growing rapidly, they are losing share.

Pop and rock are the dominant musical genres, with 69% of album sales in 1996. However, there are also significant segments in the market for dance, classical music, jazz, country, and spoken word products. However, growth and profitability in the market is dependent on the pop music market, where the albums which had achieved a top 40 chart placing accounted for 22.5% of album sales in 1995.

Sales of music products through non-traditional outlets, such as supermarkets and petrol station shops, are growing. Increasing concentration on a few successful recordings would be detrimental to the breadth of choice in the industry as a whole, as would the establishment of deep discounting on the US model.

The Internet offers new opportunities for both established record companies and new independent labels to offer access to their products. As yet, however, domestic Internet penetration in the UK is at a very low level, but it is likely that it will begin to have significant impact on CD and tape sales in the next 5 years.

However, despite encroachments from new technology, the album market is expected to show average annual growth in volume of 7.2%, and in value of 6.7% between 1997 and the year 2001. Over the same period, however, singles are set to decline; showing an average annual fall in volume of 5.9%, and an average annual value drop of 8.4%. This decline will not have a deep effect on the value of the recorded music as a whole, due to the low unit cost of singles.

First Edition 1997
Edited by Louis Barfe
ISBN 1-85765-702-0


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