Security (UK) December 1997

Executive Summary

MARKET VALUE

The UK private security industry addressed a market worth £4.42bn in 1996. Total growth over a 3-year period, from 1993 to 1996, is estimated at 21.4% and the market is expected to have grown by a further 4.1% in 1997 to reach £4.6bn.

MARKET SECTORS

Included in this market study are manned security services, electronic security, physical security, vehicle security and fire protection, and there are various subsectors within these categories.

Growth has been rapid in the sectors of electronic security and vehicle security. The intruder alarm market has reached maturity, but there is still strong growth in access control and closed circuit television (CCTV). Electronic article surveillance (EAS) is still held back by the fact that three incompatible technologies exist, each with their advantages. Nevertheless, source tagging is at last starting to happen and many of the major retailers are committed to investment in EAS. Monitoring of intruder and fire alarms and CCTV is another growth sector. Monitoring is offered by some of the large installation companies, but the manned security companies have also moved into this activity.

The market for manned guarding remains fairly flat and the industry has to compete with the electronic security sector, where prices fall as technologies become established. Demand for cash handling services has been declining gradually, so the manned security companies are looking to other areas, such as monitoring and prison escorts, to boost their sales. Margins are low in the manned sector and the issue of introducing compulsory regulation has yet to be settled. Nevertheless, there is still a strong demand for guarding from sectors such as retailing, which find that electronic security alone is not enough.

The market for physical security products is very mature, but could receive a boost as the level of commercial building improves.

Fire protection is another mature market, but around half its revenue is derived from ongoing services.

The motor vehicle security sector has boomed in recent years, thanks to the growth in vehicle production and cars on the road. Security is a strong selling point in the car market and many models now have immobilisers fitted as standard. Tracking systems for stolen vehicles have proved extremely successful, but are still limited mainly to vehicle fleets.

Table 1: Value of the UK Security and Fire Protection Market by Sector at Current Prices (£bn and %), 1993-1997

1993 1994 1995 1996 e1997






Manned 39.7 39.5 37.9 37.9 37.2
Electronic 26.1 28.6 29.9 30.1 31.0
Physical 15.5 14.5 13.8 13.4 12.9
Vehicle 4.7 4.5 5.1 5.3 5.6
Fire 14.0 12.9 13.3 13.3 13.3






Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0






Value (£bn) 3.63 4.02 4.22 4.42 4.60
e -- Key Note estimates
Source:Key Note

CONSUMER RESEARCH

Original research carried out by Gallup Organisation Ltd for Key Note, found that the ownership of all main types of household security devices has increased considerably since 1992. Smoke alarms have now reached a penetration level of 82%, but there is a much lower ownership of extinguishers and other types of home fire protection.

The research also covered opinions as to the causes of crime. Unemployment, bad parenting and lack of a family environment were the factors blamed by most people, but there was some difference between the age groups. People over 65 were the most likely to blame leniency of judges sentencing, while young people were the most ready to include urban deprivation as one of the factors.

SUPPLY

The range of products and services is diverse and there are several hundred suppliers, large and small. Two very large corporate acquisitions have taken place in 1997, as a result of which two leading groups share around 16% of the UK security and fire protection market between them and dominate certain sectors. These groups are Williams PLC, which acquired Chubb Security PLC; and US group Tyco International Inc., which acquired ADT Ltd (an international group based in Bermuda). Williams PLC now has a presence in nearly all UK security sectors, while Tyco's subsidiaries concentrate mainly on fire protection and electronic security.

FUTURE PROSPECTS

Trends which will work in favour of the market include the upturn in commercial sector building after a long period of depression, which this should help most of the product sectors. The level of crime is falling, but violent crime is still on the increase. The violent crime factor maintains public awareness of the risks at a high level, and pressure on the Government to address crime levels will continue.

Continued encouragement by the insurers, in the form of reduced premiums, would help the market and this applies to home insurance, commercial insurance and car insurance.

Sectors which offer good prospects for further growth in the next few years are access control, electronic article surveillance and CCTV. In the longer term, integrated systems are likely to become more widespread. These will include fire protection and various types of electronic security, together with building management and other administrative functions.

Sixth Edition 1997
Edited by Simon Howitt

ISBN 1-85765-769-1


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